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MWAA Votes to Drop Project Labor Agreement

Silver Line Phase 2 will roll on minus a big sticking point that favored pro-union firms.

 

The Metropolitan Washington Airports Authority board voted Wednesday to drop the project labor agreement for Phase 2 of the Silver Line Rail to Dulles.

The PLA agreement for Phase 2 gave preference to firms using union workers. It was a voluntary arrangement for Phase 1, which is now more than 70 percent complete. Phase 1 will run from Tysons Corner to Reston's Wiehle Avenue. It is slated to be operating by December 2013.

Phase 2, originally scheduled to open in 2016, has already been delayed amid financial and political haggling. Phase 2 is slated to run from Wiehle Avenue to Dulles International Airport and into Loudoun County.  

The mandatory PLA had been a sticking point the last several months as Virginia Gov. Bob McDonnell (R) threatened to withhold the commonwealth's $150 million contribution if the PLA agreement was not dropped. The Virginia General Assembly also recently enacted a law and included language in the state budget prohibiting project labor agreements for Phase 2.

The PLA, as well as a possible opt-out by Loudoun County, has put the second phase of the rail project in jeopardy. Loudoun supervisors have also said they won’t contribute their share of about $200 million for Phase 2 if the labor agreement goes forward. The all-Republican Loudoun Board of Supervisors has until July 4 to decide.

More than 100 people spoke to speak at a public hearing on Phase 2 in Loudoun on Monday. Last week, a conservative group used robocalls to encourage Loudoun citizens to support the supervisors in opting out of rail.

The advocacy group Loudoun Rail Now said in a statement Wednesday it is pleased that the MWAA Board has voted to remove the Project Labor Agreement from Phase 2 and is hopeful the project can now move forward.

"As clearly stated by the Loudoun Board of Supervisors and Gov. Bob McDonnell, removal of the PLA is the critical step in approving Rail to Loudoun," the group said. "With this vote, the Commonwealth will move forward with its $150 million contribution to Phase 2. Equally critical, Loudoun County’s Board has made the removal of the PLA an essential pathway towards opting into the Silver Line."

The Dulles Corridor Rail Association last month reiterated its support for dropping the PLA if that is what it will take to move the project forward.

DRCA Chairman Del. Ken Plum (D-Reston) said Tuesday that MWAA's move is a positive one.

"This removes a big obstacle for Phase 2," he said. "I always thought Virginia's position about the PLA was greatly overstated - it is highly unlikely that any large contractor would not use it. But now that it is gone, Virginia can get on board and move this thing forward."

Plum also said the vote should be encouraging to Loudoun County.

"This should take away a concern Loudoun expressed," Plum said. "Now we can knock off the points of contention and get this process under way."

Related Topics: MWAA, Reston Development, Silver Line, and rail to dulles

Ryan C Roth

11:22 am on Wednesday, June 6, 2012

More breaking news, we just lost the Redskins to Richmond.

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Dusty Smith

11:29 am on Wednesday, June 6, 2012

We just lost summer training camp, which is still a loss. But the HQ and regular training facility will remain in Ashburn, according to the WTOP story. In fact, an expansion appears to be planned in Ashburn.

Ryan C Roth

11:40 am on Wednesday, June 6, 2012

Hmm that is sort of a relief. I guess we will miss out on fan appreciation day though.

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Donna Sandin

11:52 am on Wednesday, June 6, 2012

And might Loudoun Rail be a factor in their expanding their Ashburn facility?

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jimmy

12:34 pm on Wednesday, June 6, 2012

no because you dont need rail to bring players to the HQ

SB

1:12 pm on Wednesday, June 6, 2012

The dropping of the PLA really doesn't make a difference since the Davis-Bacon prevailing wage is about the same as union wages. The only difference being that the employee will get the "cash fringes" rather than the employer sending the money to the union(s) for the employees benefits accounts.

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muchtoloveinloudoun

7:11 am on Friday, June 8, 2012

Agree with SB. While it will make little difference to the costs, the money will not go to corrupt union bosses. Having PLA type labor agreements in government funded projects is the first step in becoming hostage to labor unions the way much of New York is. Anyone who has ever tried to conduct development business on Long Island know what I'm talking about. I am very relieved this was dropped for this reason. whew!

Rob Whitfield

1:42 pm on Wednesday, June 6, 2012

The removal of a Phase 2 rail mandatory PLA agreement is of little importance to the decisions yet to be made by the Loudoun County Board, akin to deciding the colors for shutters on a house when a Category 5 hurricane is approaching.

The Phase 2 funding structure which places 75% of the $2.8+ billion cost burden on Dulles Toll Road users is plainly wrong. The failure of federal, state and local officials plus Chamber of Commerce leaders to address this fundamental problem is reason alone for the Loudoun County Board to reject funding. Similarly important is the need to resolve the best method for funding the local share of rail projected capital and operating costs and assurances that MWAA will contribute to not only capital costs but operating costs of Dulles Airport station.

The Washington Metro Area Transit authority has yet to provide projections of rail ridership, revenues, costs, subsidies plus supporting assumptions to justify an investment by Loudoun County. In 2001, WMATA Compact members signed an agreement that precluded members from contributing any funds to capital costs of the extension of the 103 mile system. WMATA must provide a legally binding written assurance that Loudoun taxpayers will not be accountable for any share of a projected $13.3 billion in yet to be funded capital replacement costs over the next decade for the originial 103 mile Metrorail system or for any share of future planned expansion of Metrorail inside the Capital Beltway.

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CC Mojo

3:51 pm on Wednesday, June 6, 2012

Rob, you're like Lucy, always moving the football when Charlie Brown goes to kick it. The PLA was very important to several members of the board, and certainly was a key factor in the decision process before the BoS.

Bob Bruhns

7:51 pm on Wednesday, June 6, 2012

The PLA, and its later incarnation the 10% union preference, were unacceptable because of right-to-work law in Virginia. The union issue may actually have been inserted as a deliberate throw-away for its distraction value. It is not the reason the price is nearly two times what it should be, but it sure caused a lot of distraction. Certainly we will not see the project cost drop to $1.5 billion now. I doubt there will be any drop at all - if anything is saved, it will go quietly into somebody's pocket, and MWAA will make sure we never know who got it.

I expect that the skyrocketing tolls will just happen not to be mentioned between now and whenever Loudoun County might approve this boondoggle now. The plan is to get this thing approved, wait until the tolls cause such screaming that entrenched politicians begin to worry - and then SURPRISE!!! A billion dollar bond by Fairfax County (and maybe Loudoun County too) to pay down the tolls, payable as the other ones will be - by you, your children and your grandchildren, for generations. Oh well!

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Bob Bruhns

7:51 pm on Wednesday, June 6, 2012

Of course, we have already been assured that even a two to one overcost just doesn't matter, because of the money that will gush out of buildings and paychecks because of this little local rail line. And when that doesn't happen, you can look up the pen-name posters who said it would happen, and see if you can sue them or something. I can just hear the judge now. "You didn't have a signed agreement to that effect, and you don't even know anybody's NAME, and you want this court to refund your money? Case dismissed!" I doubt you could even sue the economist. And the politicians and the news media? Complicit as can be, but you'll never win.

I'm sure they will get a big laugh out of the looks on your faces, folks. Unfortunately for me, pretty much the same look will be on my face too. Oh well.

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muchtoloveinloudoun

7:15 am on Friday, June 8, 2012

All the research shows that the tolls would skyrocket whether the Silver Line is built or not.

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Bob Bruhns

9:43 am on Friday, June 8, 2012

You mean whether Phase II is built or not. Phase I is already going to make the tolls skyrocket; Phase II will make them skyrocket a lot worse.

Do people really not realize that? Does that "Oh, the tolls will go up anyway" argument really sway people in this supposedly highly educated, high tech corridor? What HAPPENED to this country, anyway? That's like saying "Oh, well I'll have high payments if I buy this with my credit card, so therefore I might as well buy that too." Right. Well, two times high, is still high, of course - but what's missing is the concept of 'even higher'. No wonder we have so many bankruptcies and foreclosures, with that kind of thinking.

What's probably going to happen, is this: nonsense arguments and green T-shirt parties will carry the day, because people are easily swayed. Then, the document will be signed. And then... SURPRISE!!! "Oh, didn't you know the tolls were going to go up, now that it is too late to say no? Wheeeee, look at them go!" And people will say "Oh, well we didn't realize it would be this bad." And then they will suddenly remember to contact their county leaders. "Hey! You better get these tolls down right now!" And the county leaders have the answer all ready to go. "Oh, well what a surprise, the tolls went up. But we can fix that! We can float a Billion Dollar General Obligation Bond! And you, and your children, and your grandchildren can pay it, for generations!" And then they will stop, and smile.

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Dusty Smith

10:02 am on Friday, June 8, 2012

On tolls. Just to respond to Bob's question. The two arguments are getting mixed up. Some are opposing all of phase two, while others just want Loudoun to opt out. Loudoun's participation has minimal impact on tolls if phase two is built, according to the presentations. That's the point I think some people are making, while I believe Bob is comparing tolls with or without all of phase two.

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Bob Bruhns

7:17 pm on Friday, June 8, 2012

True, I'm thinking that all of Phase II needs to be sent back to the drawing board.

Phase II will definitely go back for redesign if Loudoun County opts out. I believe that a complete redesign of the airport station is necessary either way - a three mile loop of elevated track, and an elevated station a quarter mile from the air terminal, is NOT the way to go. I believe that HUGE savings are possible if the Dulles Airport rail station design is made into a mostly on-ground dead end spur.

WMATA wants the rail yard, so if rail is built to the airport, that will probably happen too. I think that the Rt 606 station and the Rt 606 parking garage are also planned to be built on Dulles Airport property. If Loudoun County fully opts out, I think that MWAA will build the rail yard, and possibly also the Rt 606 station and parking facility as the western terminus.

Whatever happens, screams about the tolls will force Fairfax County to float a Billion dollar (or more) General Obligation bond to pay the tolls down. Federal and Commonwealth of Virginia money is not forthcoming, because this project should never have been undertaken. Fairfax County will probably be doing this borrowing within the next five years, whether Loudoun County opts in or out.

But a redesign opens the door to dedicated BUS lanes in the rail right of way, extending out to Leesburg or beyond. Many things are possible.

John Lovaas

7:58 pm on Wednesday, June 6, 2012

Sticking it to working men and women is an official sport in VA. So Sleazy Bob blackmailing MWAA which is hurting for bucks is not surprising. With only tolls to fill the funding gap for Phase 2, MWAA's caving was predictable if disgusting. Unions should rethink who they support in coming elections--those who sold out workers on this matter, like local Democrats, should be dropped.

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the-stix

3:10 am on Thursday, June 7, 2012

First, the inference that the only good worker is a union worker is nonsense!

Second, unions like corporations, often pursue motives for the benefit of the enterprise and not necessairly in the best interest of the “worker”. Yes, unions should rethink what party they support but they won’t because of the strong ‘you scratch my back and I will scratch yours (aka $))’ relationship that exits, especially in the public sector and with the Democratic Party.

I would also say that “workers” should also rethink whether they support unions. Thank heaven in this state they at least have a choice. Phase 2 will not suffer one bit because the PLA preference was dropped.

Finally when you throw around the word “sleazy” you might add those Democratic congressmen and Washington leaders that support trying to throw gobs of tax dollars to vote rich states (like CA and FL) for high speed rail, but can’t seem t find a dime for a rail link to the nation’s international airport.

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Bob Bruhns

7:20 am on Thursday, June 7, 2012

Neither MWAA, nor the rest of the political machine behind Dulles Rail, ever cared about workers or unions. Like all of the other groups they used, unions were a tool - and, in the end, a throw-away. This is not surprising at all.

What MWAA and the rest of the political machine behind Dulles Rail DO care about is the Billion and a half of overcharge that is hidden in this rail project. What a surprise - keeping that extra money in the budget was, and is, their top priority.

Too bad the citizens were tricked into ignoring that Billion and a half dollars of overcharge - but they were, as always, overloaded with endless, orchestrated arguments that are difficult to understand; and on top of that, they are easily swayed. The news media was and remains complicit, which is why you will not hear about the excessive price of this project, you will not hear about the $53 million FTA blunder, you will not hear about the DOT Inspector General's 2012 audit of risk factors incuding cost, etc. Just about all you will hear is proclamations of how great this overpriced, underperforming rail line is, and how money will gush out of buildings and paychecks now, and how wonderful it all is. And after a few reports of green T-shirt parties at Loudoun BOS meetings, even that will fade into humdrum reports about road closures, construction work, and completion schedules. None of this is accidental.

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CC Mojo

8:01 am on Thursday, June 7, 2012

Bob, your constant insinuation that Loudoun citizens are blind to whatever factoid you're spewing is getting old. You insult the intelligence of the very people you say you're trying to "protect" - nobody was tricked into anything. The people of Loudoun are aware of the costs of the project, and the majority is willing to move ahead, KNOWING the costs.

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Bob Bruhns

11:36 am on Thursday, June 7, 2012

CC, be sure to leave your name and contact information somewhere, so people can tell you what they think when they discover the actual cost, and what it will mean to them.

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CC Mojo

12:11 pm on Thursday, June 7, 2012

Bob, you are off your rocker if you think for one moment that I'd give out contact information online. That's as absurd as your normal rants and raves.

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Bob Bruhns

1:41 pm on Thursday, June 7, 2012

All righty then, CC. I can certainly understand why you wouldn't want to be personally responsible for any claims you make.

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CC Mojo

2:39 pm on Thursday, June 7, 2012

Back up my "claims" or put myself into a potential stalking situation. Hmmm. Tough choice there.

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Bob Bruhns

9:54 am on Friday, June 8, 2012

Sometimes, people need to stand and be counted, CC - and this is one of those times. Orchestrated pen name chatter isn't enough when generations of payments are at stake.

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CC Mojo

10:05 am on Friday, June 8, 2012

Bob, you've lost your mind.

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Richard Holmquist

10:25 am on Friday, June 8, 2012

Generations of payments, Bob, with generations of benefits.

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Bob Bruhns

7:07 pm on Friday, June 8, 2012

The benefit to payment ratio needs to be improved, Richard. Double priced rail is not a bargain.

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Rob Jackson

9:53 am on Saturday, June 9, 2012

John, why are you against Virginia construction workers? The vast majority of them are non-union workers. By having a PLA that pushes jobs to union workers we increase the likelihood fewer Virginia residents and more D.C. and Maryland residents will have jobs.

Janie Oldham

12:24 am on Thursday, June 7, 2012

Yawn. Like we all didn't see that coming. Like we all didn't know that it doesn't matter at all. MWAA will still hire whoever they want. They always do whatever they want. A bad project is still a bad project!

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Burt Rosenberg

10:04 am on Thursday, June 7, 2012

Exorbitant Dulles Toll increases = NO NO NO on Phase 2!

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Jack406

10:42 am on Thursday, June 7, 2012

If you commute toward Washington on the Dulles Toll Road, you will find the back roads even more crowded when the tolls double. Rte 7, Old Courthouse Road, and Georgetown Pike will be saturated.
BUT I know people who commute daily from Rt 28 to Tysons or to the Beltway who drive into the airport, buy a cup of coffee from the gas station, get a receipt (they have now done airport business), and then take the Airport "free" road inbound.
I guess that must be legal. It is certainly faster and cheaper.

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Rob Whitfield

11:06 am on Thursday, June 7, 2012

CC Mojo, people who will not talk about the elephant in the room - massive Dulles Toll Road toll increases - are ignoring the fundamental problem. By not identifying yourself publicly, we presume that you have no credibility -like most politicians.

Options for funding Dulles Rail do exist and should have been explored long ago. Due to extreme incompetence by most of our politicians, the goalposts have never been moved to cover the field of play.

Talk about moving the football, why don't you look at the MWAA proposal to the Commonwealth in January 2006 and compare the business terms offered then with what MWAA offers in 2012. The only entity less trustworthy and accountable to the public than MWAA is the Metro Washington Area Transit Authority.

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CC Mojo

12:18 pm on Thursday, June 7, 2012

By not identifying myself publicly? Tax Pig himself can vouch for my existence as a real person, maybe you should talk to him :)

Bob is also keeping up a spreadsheet with my personal information, likes and dislikes (so sad that Safeway is out of my Snapple) - even if he seems to want me to open up my personal world to the throngs of Internet pervs.

Unless we're back to the "CC is a land owner" argument and y'all are going to flag my FB account again, I think my identity is a non-issue. It also shows how threatened y'all are... paranoia will destroy ya!

Regarding your MWAA/MWATA points - the truth is that without a doubt, this is going to cost money. Nothing in this world is free. However, the ROI on this investment stands to be incredible, personally and financially, for everyone in the area.

Don Joy

11:08 am on Thursday, June 7, 2012

A victory against communism, yay! Wisconsin is just the beginning. Virginia, New Jersey, California...

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MIke

11:21 am on Thursday, June 7, 2012

@CC_Mojo, the Majority of Loudoun residents that I speak with ( my neighbors, since I actually LIVE in the county unlike a lot of folks wearing those green shirts) are FULLY AGAINST the project due to the costs, that will be incurred, and have to be paid by us...

Rail to Dulles, sure, its paid for, Rail to Loudoun, NO! Vote NO to rail to Loudoun!

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CC Mojo

12:21 pm on Thursday, June 7, 2012

Mike, I'm in Loudoun. I have neighbors. I don't have a green shirt. My neighbors are FOR Metro, at a higher rate than those recent polls.

Please note, I am not submitting my own personal polling numbers as real data, I'm "just sayin'"

I've been to some meetings, I've seen the shirts, I've read and read and read and looked at all the numbers from both sides. I believe that Metro will be nothing but beneficial, and I'm obviously not alone in that belief.

Rail to Dulles! Rail to Loudoun! Vote YES to rail to Loudoun!

Rob Whitfield

3:25 pm on Thursday, June 7, 2012

"..the ROI on this investment stands to be incredible, personally and financially, for everyone in the area." CC Mojo, did you work for Solyndra?

Yesterday's Wall Street Journal had this article on potential job cuts:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303506404577448650339905144.html?mod=googlenews_wsj

Dr. Stephen Fuller of George Mason University's Center for Regional Analyis has projected 92,600 job cuts for Northern Virginia due to cuts in federal procurement. Fuller admits that, including the multiplier effect, job cuts could be more than three times greater than figures he gave the Joint Armed Services Committee. Today we read about 2,100 jobs at Exxon Mobil to move from Fairfax to Texas.

I support the long term economic growth of Loudoun County and the Dulles Airport area, but not at an unlimited cost to local taxpayers. Landowners and transit riders, particularly those who live in DC, Maryland, Arlington, Alexandria, are not paying a fair share of Silver Line capital or operating costs under the present plans of MWAA and WMATA.

I supported Dulles Rail from the DART rail proposal in 1987 until May 2007 when MWAA presented updated Phase 1 capital cost estimates that placed an additional $1 billion in cost burden on Dulles Toll Road users without any justification or public hearing and approval process. Matters have become progressively worse since 2007; MWAA toll projections in 2012 are about four times 2007 projections.

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CC Mojo

3:59 pm on Thursday, June 7, 2012

Rob, Solyandra, seriously? If you had a clue, you'd realize you're completely villainizing some woman who may be standing in front of you in line at the grocery store - me. However, I like that you're afraid and making these outrageous claims.

The WSJ article says POTENTIAL job cuts. I am arguing that the POTENTIAL benefit of Metro to Loudoun is nothing to walk away from. Your POTENTIAL trumps mine? Also, your side of the game seems to think Fuller is full of... wind... yet, you quote him now? The only 92,600 number I see regarding jobs refers to non-farm jobs throughout the whole state, and that figure is from 2009. And the Exxon move - the oil is in Houston. Mystery solved.

Are we done yet?

Rob Whitfield

6:10 pm on Thursday, June 7, 2012

Hardly!

http://www.virginiabusiness.com/index.php/news/article/defense-budget-cuts-could-dampen-state-economy/315606/

According to Fuller’s analysis, Virginia can expect:
• A loss of $7.3 billion in wage and salaries
• A loss of 122,800 jobs statewide, including 92,691 jobs in Northern Virginia and 20,785 jobs in Hampton Roads

Seventy-five percent of all DOD procurement spending in Virginia goes to Northern Virginia. In fact, 35 percent of the Greater Washington area’s economy last year came from federal spending. Federal procurement spending alone accounted for more than 19 percent of the area’s gross regional product. “We have a huge exposure …. We have never been more dependent on federal spending,” Fuller said. “Procurement has been our bread and butter.”

Tom Flynn, Loudoun County's Economic Development Director told a meeting today that more vacant office space exists in Fairfax County than there is total office space in Loudoun County. We need to work together to promote the Dulles area and maintain our present employment base.

What LoCo needs, and can better afford than a very expensive heavy rail line, is natural gas powered buses operating in dedicated HOV lanes. If built, the WMATA monster will suck out $$billions from outer suburbs to maintain a failing system.

CC Mojo - check out page 12 of the following report:
http://www.drpt.virginia.gov/activities/files/Transit_Service_Design_Guidelines_FINAL.pdf

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CC Mojo

6:38 pm on Thursday, June 7, 2012

Ok, so, Fuller predicts doom and gloom in December 2011 based upon a lack of DoD funding regarding budget cuts, etc.. We have no control over that, as far as I know.

Fuller then predicts economic promise a few months later, based upon bringing businesses (not govvies) to Loudoun as a result of Metro. We HAVE control over that.

Somehow, Metro just got even shinier. If NoVa and Va are so dependent on the government for survival, it makes MORE sense to attract a wide range of businesses to the region in order to offset the govvies and maintain an even more stable AND lucrative economy that doesn't ebb and flow with each POTUS' administration.

There are no more roads for buses. Buses cost more per person than Rail and they'll mess up the commute even more. Buses do not attract businesses. Loudoun has the opportunity to take control of the future, through Rail. Thanks for the extra info :)

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Bob Bruhns

7:13 pm on Friday, June 8, 2012

People all over Loudoun County will need bus to GET to and from the massively overpriced rail. So why not opt out, take the busses to Rt 28, or Herndon, and save a whopping lot of money? You can put the bus lanes in the rail right of way, extend them further with the savings, and switch to rail as it actually becomes appropriate. Business isn't going to come to an area that is foolish with its money.

Rob Whitfield

8:35 am on Friday, June 8, 2012

The problems resulting from long term overspending by government will take more than a few years to resolve. Loudoun County's economy can only grow when employers are confident that they will not be subject to increased government taxation and regulation.

A dedicated HOV/bus lane network is needed to link Loudoun County to major employment areas in Northern Virginia. I favor private or public private partnerships to operate buses as has occurred successfully in Britain and elsewhere.

The Metrorail system works in areas with population densities over 6,000 per square mile and high employment concentrations as exist inside the Capital Beltway. Metrorail is not feasible for Loudoun County which has an overall population density of only 600 people per square mile.

Do you and other Metrorail supporters think that Ashburn is going to turn into a Ballston-Rosslyn corridor with development densities ten times greater than exist today? Are station area landowners counting on massive density increases? Just look at what is happening in Tysons Corner and Reston in their Master Plan process. The infrastructure costs in Tysons alone are likely to reach $3 billion in the next 30 years.

The adopted Loudoun County comprehensive plan limits most future development to areas east of Route 659. The population at buildout is under 500,000 versus 320,000 today. Check with the Piedmont Environmental Council if you think that development is going to occur in the transition zone.

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the-stix

8:31 pm on Friday, June 8, 2012

Understand that if Loudoun opts out of Phase 2 it will be decades if ever that they get an opportunity to have a Metrorail connection (and it will never be less costly). Perhaps to some, that decision will have no impact on economic development, and in the nearer term on commuters in and out of the county.

As far as Fairfax County is concerned a LC opt-out may be a boon. The cost of Phase 2 will be less by having the western terminus at the airport (perhaps without a rail yard), and just maybe the new garage at Herndon-Monroe could be eliminated or postponed. As to economic development, it is probable that companies in locating would prefer to settle in Fairfax because of the better rail/auto connection. This would not be unlike the situation largely in the 80’s and 90’s when an important factor in the location decision was the Dulles Toll Road link.

I live in Reston and having located a company here in those times and with the some of the same considerations in mind, I do not envy the LC BOS’s difficult decision. As for myself, I sort of root for the LC Dullesrail naysayers to prevail as it will, in my view be better for Fairfax. If Loudoun wants a fleet of hundreds of busses running around and boarding Metro at Herndon or Reston, and better yet paying for the abbreviated Phase 2 with tolls, I say go for it!

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Bob Bruhns

11:36 pm on Friday, June 8, 2012

Wait - won't Loudoun County NEED a fleet of hundreds of buses running around, to bring the vast majority of its population to and from the rail stations? And if they already need THAT ... then why not just go to Herndon, Rt 28, or even Reston? Indeed, why not put dedicated bus lanes in the rail right of way all the way to Wiehle Ave?

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the-stix

6:00 am on Saturday, June 9, 2012

I think everyone should agree that Loudoun needs some kind of integrated transportation network for its citizens and businesses, both current and future. Whether the Silver Line or busses to Metrorail stations (on dedicated roadways or not) is part of that network is up to the voters and elected reps. A prudent way to decide would be to lay out the alternatives in order to make a cost-benefit analysis to span say 50 years.

To be sure, there are many ‘best guesses’ that must be made for that long a period, but the alternative to making probably what will become the ‘final decision’ about the Silver Line extension into the county, on a short term and especially emotional basis, should be unthinkable.

One positive thing about Dullesrail is that the ‘decades of multi-agency planning’ is about complete; what would that be for a bus alternative starting now, and is the bus alternative a 50 year solution to the LC transportation needs is what needs to be considered.

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Bob Bruhns

10:38 am on Sunday, June 10, 2012

Given the population density of Loudoun County and even western Fairfax County, rail is not a viable option now - particularly at this doubled price. And bus is not as long-term an option as rail is, so a 50 year horizon is unrealistic for bus. For a realistic lifespan for bus, it is viable and it does make sense. So the argument that Loudoun County would not get Metrorail for decades unless it capitulates immediately, is irrelevant - because Loudoun County really should NOT get Metrorail for decades.

It's time for Northern Virginia to do the unexpected, and actually build a transit system sensibly. 'Rush to Rail' is not the way to go, especially with a Billion and a half dollars of overcharge in it. BUS is what makes sense here, now and for decades to come. And that bus system needs to be built such that it reserves the future rail corridor while it provides needed transit, and such that it can later be expanded to high quality Metrorail, mile by mile if need be, as that time comes - not a too-long, all-local system at two times what it should cost, like the present rail plan.

People - don't let the pen-name posters sway you, and rush you with 'sky-is-falling' claims. They will not be around when this so-called deal turns out to be a disaster. Use your heads!

Rob Whitfield

7:31 am on Saturday, June 9, 2012

The-stix, I too live in Reston but have worked most of last decade in Loudoun County. I agree totally that a "life cycle" cost benefit analysis over a 50 year period is needed. Dulles Airport is approaching its 50th birthday, I have advocated for years that an updated 50 year airport area Master Plan is needed. The present Master Plan was last updated in 1984 by Skidmore Owings and Merrill for the FAA before MWAA was created.

One of my major concerns is that WMATA has repeatedly failed to address funding of replacement capital costs for the existing Metrorail system. A rational entity interested in serving the long term needs of its customers would have increased fares to cover the projected $13.3 billion in Metrorail capital replacement costs over the next decade. Instead, the WMATA Board, controlled by irresponsible inside the Beltway politicians, has done away with the "peak of the peak" fare surcharge. This ensures that overcrowded peak period trains will persist. They should be "reserving" at least $1 per trip towards replacement capital costs. Such a surcharge would build replacement reserves up to $200 million annually. Instead, the WMATA Board expects federal, state and local taxpayers to pay for their gross negligence.

Our politicians have failed us repeatedly. Egos prevail over financial and economic expedience. We face sequestration and taxmageddon. I don't see ANY leaders in business or government coming together to address these urgent problems.

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the-stix

8:02 am on Saturday, June 9, 2012

Mr. Whitfield. I agree, but government and bureaucratic incompetence and attendant self-serving interests will always be with us, and more so as the public sector grows bigger.

Having said that, the LC decision is... does the Silver Line extend into their county.. yes or no. My guess is that this is a watershed decision, in that they will never have this opportunity again, and especially at less cost (or with less surrounding bureaucratic incompetence). In my view, the decision should be made on the basis of what is right, and not on what is wrong.

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Rob Whitfield

8:24 am on Saturday, June 9, 2012

In my view, rail to Loudoun County should only occur when demand exists to justify the costs. Having worked locally in real estate over 30 years, including work as a market analyst and commercial appraiser, I allow facts rather than feelings guide my thinking.

Too many major developers seem to have an overly optimistic sense of future market demand. As an aside, last week at Loudoun County Economic Development Commission, Bob Buchanan, a very experienced commercial developer, who also heads The 2030 Group, told the audience that he used to build 1 million SFof office space annually. He built a 50,000 SF building last year (in Prince William County?) and expects to build another 50,000 SF next year.

I wrote recently about some of the issues influencing future demand:
http://www.fairfaxtimes.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20120406/OPINION/704069928/1065/rail-ridership-forecasts-are-pure-folly&template=PrinterFriendlyFFX

Then there is this from Ben Bernanke warning Congress about the "fiscal cliff:"
http://www.forbes.com/sites/afontevecchia/2012/06/07/bernanke-warns-policymakers-dont-let-fiscal-cliff-destroy-the-recovery/

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the-stix

9:14 am on Saturday, June 9, 2012

You certainly have a valid point, however your view is typical of how we always seem to treat infrastructure investments, no offense intended. Putting off infrastructure improvements is why Fairfax County still has major commuter roads that are two-lane and with one-lane bridges. And then we all complain, do we not.

History indicates that economic growth runs in cycles, and it is that growth that helps pay for infrastructure. My position is that if Loudoun EVER anticipates economic growth and they would EVER want the Silver Line spur, now is the time to bite the bullet. And the reason is that there will likely never be another opportunity for rail (eventually to Leesburg) that will be less costly and probably more affordable (in the long run).

On the other hand, living in Fairfax I am good with LC opting out as I think that would benefit FC taxpayers. As I recall you have said elsewhere, there is a lot of empty Dulles corridor office space to fill. So I think all things considered, prospective companies in locating and considering a rail/road link an important factor, would rather be further in the direction on metro-DC than further out. Besides, an opt-out may well mean Phase 2 modified would be completed sooner and at less cost, and that is good for all of us in FC.

Rob Whitfield

1:51 pm on Saturday, June 9, 2012

I agree that growth runs in economic cycles but excessive federal spending growth in the last 50+ years is unsustainable. Rates of population and employment growth for the Washington Metro area in next 30 years will be far less than in the past.

Fifty years ago, federal GRANTS helped build our national infrastructure including Dulles Airport and most capital costs of the 103 mile Metrorail system. Today, we can't even obtain federal DEBT to assist Dulles Rail Phase 2.

I have suggested to Rep. Wolf, Virginia Department of Rail and Public Transportation head Thelma Drake, MWAA Board, staff and others a lower cost financing method to build Phase 2 but so far nobody has responded. By restructuring the ground lease between MWAA and the federal government, up to $1.5 billion in long term federal loans can be obtained to be repaid over the next 55 years at an interest rate of around 3% - annual payments of $50 to $75 million including amortization of principal. That is far better than Virginia's plan to use $150 million to pay part of the debt service on MWAA's BBB rated junk bonds which to date have averaged interest costs of about 6.05% annually.

On Friday June 8, the Federal Highway Adminstration's advertised interest rate on 35 year TIFIA loans was 2.68%, near the lowest ever recorded.

Sadly, the local business community and our politicians have failed to work together to secure a more feasible rail financial structure than reliance on Dulles Toll Road tolls.

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the-stix

5:00 am on Sunday, June 10, 2012

Phase 2 at least to the airport will happen, and sooner rather than later. The die is pretty much cast (from long ago) with DTR users paying increased tolls, and borrowing rates higher than tifia.

Loudoun is but a small part of this and may be scared off by near certain reduced future federal spending. And if they do, they will have missed perhaps a once in a lifetime (actually many lifetimes) opportunity for a rail link to and through their major population and economic center. I do not envy their decision due in less than a month.

My guess is that they will NOT opt out!

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Bob Bruhns

9:29 am on Sunday, June 10, 2012

Hasn't the problem - not only in the United States, but actually in the whole world - been too-easy borrowing? I would think that people might remember the housing bubble, but no... People are not even considering that the cost of this rail project is almost two times what such a project should cost - all they are doing is trying to figure out if they can borrow the money to pay the bloated price anyway, never mind that they are already closing libraries and looking at huge reductions in federal spending, the source of most of their wealth! And why would private industry want to replace federal jobs and repay these bloated rail costs?

In the case of Phase I, there may be merit to this idea - Phase I, complete with its hidden line item prices that were redacted so the public could not see or evaluate them, is already signed and mostly built. A lot of borrowed money needs to be repaid with skyrocketing road tolls, and (of course) that is scheduled to begin in earnest AFTER the papers for the bloated-cost Phase II are signed. And now, having been overcharged for Phase I, apologists are pointing at the Phase I costs to justify the bloated overcost of Phase II.

MUST we make the same mistake again with Phase II, ADDING to the incredible overload that is supposedly to be placed on the toll road drivers - but which we really know, if we are intellectually honest, will be placed on the taxpayers after the agreement is signed, and people start screaming about the usurious tolls?

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Bob Bruhns

2:32 pm on Sunday, June 10, 2012

Back in January 2012, I was reading an article where a Fairfax County Supervisor said that Fairfax County was "kind of at a breaking point" because of cuts that added up to about $68 million - and here we are talking about payments of $50 million to $75 million dollars a year, for 55 years - just to get the TOLLS down - because of a rail line that is premature, and what we really need is a BUS system? Do people get a sense of the scale of this disaster yet?

We are already stuck with Phase I. Can we please get the cost of Phase II down to earth, before it REALLY breaks the bank? Why is the obvious excessive cost of this job not recognized as a major problem? It's not just expensive - it costs almost two times what it should! How can this be ignored, when we are struggling to figure out how to pay for it? We simply can not afford an extra Billion and a half dollars of overcharge in a premature rail system that we do not need, at the very time when when our economy will almost certainly be facing stress that we have never seen in our lives.

Retired Teacher

3:32 pm on Sunday, June 10, 2012

In my view, the reason there is little outcry about excessive costs has to do with our current political system. The two parties are now held hostage by their bases. For the Republicans, this means government is essentially the enemy and needs to be sharply cut back. For the Democrats, this means costs are not a concern because public spending of any kind is seen as necessary. When recently have we seen Republicans call for more government or Democrats call for cost containment?

Very few politicians at any level seem to be concerned about good government. The MWTA is unelected and has little care for cost overruns because most of the members seldom if ever go on the Toll road. The federal government debt is so excessive that we now speak in trillions of dollars as if that is a figure any of us really understand.

Good government advocates probably see Metro as an advantage but only if costs can make the system work. Since no one really tells us what the costs are for various parts of the system, it is difficult if not impossible to contain costs.

The real question all of us should be asking is how we are going to pay for Phase 2. How are we? If the advocates can come up with a valid argument, then let's go forward. If not, let's wait until we can afford it.

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Rob Whitfield

4:57 pm on Sunday, June 10, 2012

Retired teacher, you ask the right question but nobody wants to answer. To clarify, the Metropolitan Washington Airports Authority is building Dulles Rail. Upon completion, the project will be turned over to the Metropolitan Washington Area Transit Authority to operate as the Silver Line.

There are certainly problems with MWAA, most notably their lack of accountability to the public, the finance structure planned and the lack of current economic or financial feasibility of the project.

However, the potential long term costs and problems to taxpayers due to gross mismanagement by WMATA will cause far greater consequences. Our politicians -both Democrats and Repbublicans - and so called local business leaders have declined to even investigate these issues.

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Bob Bruhns

11:48 pm on Sunday, June 10, 2012

These are all very strong arguments to stop right here. Approving this fiasco would be a huge mistake. A stunning, unbelievable, colossal, epic blunder. I am dumbfounded that anybody would even consider it for a single minute.

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the-stix

7:49 am on Monday, June 11, 2012

You have posted perhaps hundreds of messages in these and other forums , all essentially saying the same thing.. often many each day. You clearly hold yourself as the “smartest kid in class” and everyone else is stupid. Why should anyone listen to you any longer?

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Bob Bruhns

3:14 pm on Monday, June 11, 2012

I point out the facts; people can look or not look. Why should anyone listen? Mainly so that they might know just how bad this rail plan really is, and so that they might not be deceived, and think that our government is looking out for us in this project.

People should know that the FTA bungled the price of the RT 28 rail station by $53 million, thus indicating that it would be appropriate to review these, and other costs. (By the way, MWAA carefully conceals these costs by redaction.) And people should know that a preliminary review of those costs reveals ridiculously excessive charges for several big line items that the FTA unwittingly revealed.

People should know that this rail project is premature, and that as a result of that and its stunningly excessive pricetags, it will take something like $50 million to $75 million payments every year for 55 years just to reduce the resulting road tolls. And people should know that MWAA's part in this disaster is only part of the story, because WMATA is also waiting in the wings to bring us additional crippling costs.

Several others point out the inappropriateness of rail at this time, the defective road toll funding, the bogus financial plan, and WMATA waiting in the wings with more big expenses for us. But I am the ONLY one pointing out the ridiculously excessive line-item pricetags. I speak out so that people might stop and think: Why should this price gouging be permitted? That is why people should listen, stix.

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Bob Bruhns

10:21 am on Tuesday, June 12, 2012

Also, people should know that the total advertised price for Dulles Rail Phase II appears to be nearly two times what it should be. That means that the Phase II project costs about a billion and a half dollars more than it should cost, and of course that means a heavy load paying back the big pile of money that our leaders propose to borrow for it. A lot of strange financial games have been played to confuse that issue - including the FTA game of pushing the costs of the Rt 28 station and the Phase II parking garages onto Fairfax and Loudoun Counties, and then the FTA and the counties, and our business and political leaders, and almost all of the news media, pretended that those costs just went away! People really need to look at that and see it for what it is - financial deceit.

And this all comes on top of the earlier overcharge for Phase I. Unfortunately, the FTA did not slip up and reveal big-ticket line item costs for Phase I, or perhaps this huge ripoff would have been stopped a lot sooner.

Really, stix - how smart does someone have to be, to look at the prices of comparable jobs, and see the obvious overcharge in this rail project? And why should this price gouging be allowed to happen?

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