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VA Up For Grabs with Two Weeks Until Election

New poll out Friday puts Virginia votes in 'toss-up' status with Romney ahead of Obama 50 percent to 47 percent in Virginia.

Can Bruce Springsteen help President Obama win Virginia? The popular singer will perform in a free concert Tuesday in Charlottesville on the president's behalf. He did the same for the president last week in Ohio, considered another must-win state in the election.

The fight for Virginia votes is getting more intense. With Election Day two weeks from Tuesday, Virginia is becoming one of the most important swing states in the presidential election, and the candidates are pulling out all the stops in trying to win the state on Nov. 6. Mitt Romney, Ann Romney, Michelle Obama and the president have each made stops in Leesburg during the campaign.

"I consider it one of the three crucial states," said Stuart Rothenberg, editor and publisher of the Rothenberg Political Report, a Washington-based newsletter, counting the others as Ohio and Colorado, the Richmond Times-Dispatch reported Sunday . "You've got to win two out of those three."

According to two polls released last week, Virginia's status in the presidential election has moved from leaning toward President Obama to being a "toss-up" state.

Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney is ahead 50 percent to President Obama's 47 percent among likely Virginia voters, according to a new poll released Friday.

The poll, by Rasmussen Reports, a conservative-leaning polling firm, surveyed likely voters and was taken two nights after the second presidential debate. 

An American Research Group poll released last Monday had Romney ahead by 1 percentage point in Virginia. Those who favored Romney in that poll tended to be white, age 50 and older, and male. Fifty-two percent who identified themselves as Independents in the poll said they planned to vote for Romney.

Rasmussen Reports shows that the following states have moved from "toss up" states to "leaning Romney" states:

  • Florida
  • North Carolina
  • Missouri

The states Rasmussen puts in the "toss-up" column (he notes Wisconsin, while Rothenberg notes Colorado):

  • Virginia
  • Ohio
  • Wisconsin

In the 2008 presidential election, Obama won Virginia by 52.62 percent to GOP nominee Sen. John McCain's 46.33 percent.

The survey of 750 likely voters by Rasmussen in Virginia was conducted Thursday by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95 percent level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

University of Virginia's Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball report from Thursday about the presidential election: "We don’t have a dog in this race, but we are rooting for one thing: no tie! A 269-269 Electoral College outcome would inevitably be a national crisis on par — or worse — with the 2000 Florida cliffhanger, especially if Romney lost the popular vote."

Obama and Romney each visited Northern Virginia last week. For details on those campaign stops see:

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Colter95 October 24, 2012 at 02:15 PM
I think it's going to take more than the "Boss" to save Obama after those emails confirmed that Obama has clearly lied to the American people... Four died, and Obama lied... That just cannot be tolerated or accepted in any way... If you factor that disgrace with the economy, and still support this fraud, I would have to question your intelligence and/or sanity... Richard Nixon was kicked to the curb for the same sort of dishonesty, and no one died in Watergate... It's crystal clear that we need a change now... Romney/Ryan 2012
Colter95 October 28, 2012 at 11:26 PM
Food for thought: The real flip-flopper is Obama... Obama has done that so many times it's hard to keep track. He voted against increasing the debt limit, and then supported raising it. Campaigned against the Bush tax cuts, and then extended them. Promised to cut the deficit in half by the end of his first term, and then doubled it. Vowed the unemployment rate would be below 8% if his stimulus was passed, but then it broke 10%. Only an artificial stimulus by the Federal Reserve now has it under 8%, barely. Promised shovel ready jobs, then admitted they weren't shovel ready. Said if you like your health plan you can keep it, but then threw seniors off Medicare Plus and employers are now saying they'll dump people onto the public exchange. Promised to have health care negotiations on live tv, but then reversed himself. Indicated Bush violated the Constitution, then carried out warrantless wiretaps, indefinite detentions, secret renditions,quadrupled drone attacks, and kept Guantanamo Bay open. Voted against the Patriot Act, but then supported its extension. Said lobbyists wouldn't work in the White House, then gave them waivers to work there. Vowed to take public financing for his 2008 campaign, then refused it when he realized he would receive more without it. Obama said his administration would be the most transparent in history. Yet his lies and coverup attempts on Benghazi are still at hand, while he tries to wait it out past the election.

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